Prediction Notes

The home side comes in with very solid form, staying unbeaten for a long stretch and looking sharp going forward.

• FormThey have also been tight at the back lately, which makes them harder to beat at home.
• FormThe away side is not in bad shape, but they do not look as convincing overall, especially when it comes to turning games into wins.
• MarketThe market still gives the home team a slight edge, which fits the idea that the home side is the more trusted option here.
• FormRecent meetings have often been tight, so even if the home team is the better pick, it should not be seen as a walkover.
• FormA draw still deserves respect because the home edge is there, but not huge.
• InjuryNo injuries and no major news mean this should mostly come down to form and balance, and that favors the home side a bit more.
• ModelAdvance probability: regular-time win + 50/50 penalty shootout on a draw.