Prediction Notes

This game leans toward the away side, and the market also gives the visitor a better look, so the away pick makes sense.

• FormThe away team has been more solid lately, with better results over the last ten matches and fewer setbacks.
• DataThey have looked sharper in front of goal and tighter at the back, which is a good combo for this kind of matchup.
• FormThe home team’s recent form is less convincing, with too many games where they did not take control or keep things clean.
• FormThe head-to-head sample is thin and very old, so it should not be used to force a home-case here.
• InjuryThe home side has no injury issues, but that alone does not flip the picture when the away team is in better overall shape.
• InjuryThe away team does have one player on the injury list, but it does not seem large enough to change the main direction.
• ModelAdvance probability: regular-time win + 50/50 penalty shootout on a draw.