Full-timeLa Liga
Beijing timeAthletic Club
Score
1-3
Sevilla
San Mamés
Referee: César Soto Grado/Avg cards 0(1 matches, indicative only)
AI Take
San Mamés turned from fortress to fault line — Athletic Bilbao fell 1-3 at home, conceding all three goals after halftime; they’ve now lost or drawn four of their last five meetings with Sevilla, who dissected the Basque defense with surgical calm.
Predictions
Confidence 73Black
Home
●Home 57%●Draw 25%●Away 18%
1X2
Home56.7%
Handicap
Away +0.7550.5%
Correct Score
- 1:015.3%
- 1:114.7%
- 2:012.8%
Goals
Under2.2551.0%
Corners
Over9.550.0%
Cards
Over4.550.1%
30min before kickoff
Prediction Notes
This leans toward the home side. The market also seems more comfortable with the home win, so the direction is pretty clear.
- FormNeither team is in a crazy hot streak lately, but the home team looks a bit more balanced overall.
- FormThe away side has been okay too, yet away games like this often make it harder to turn that into a full advantage.
- FormRecent head-to-head games show the home team can handle this opponent at home, so there is some support from the matchup history.
- InjuryBoth teams have absences, but the away side looks more affected by the injury list, which can hurt squad depth.
- FormThis is not a huge mismatch, so the draw still deserves respect. The home side is just the one with the slightly better case.
- FormSo the safer read is to lean home, but it is still a game that can get messy if the tempo goes the wrong way.
All predictions are for reference only, involve risk, and do not constitute participation advice.
Market data
1X2
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 85 | 1 |
Handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 1.98 | 1.94 |
Over/Under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 1.99 | 1.91 |
Authoritative Market
1X2
- Home
- 98.400
- Draw
- 81.150
- Away
- -5.000
Asian Handicap
- Line
- 0.250
- Home
- -0.080
- Away
- 0.200
Over/Under
- Line
- -0.250
- Over
- -0.160
- Under
- 0.230
Implied probability
Home
1.0%
Draw
1.2%
Away
97.9%