Prediction Notes

Leaning toward the away side because their recent form looks cleaner, with more wins and fewer losses.

• FormThe away team also looks tighter at the back, so they are better at keeping games under control.
• FormThe home team has been okay, but they have drawn a lot lately, which makes them feel less sharp in terms of taking full control.
• StakesThe market side also points more toward the away team, so that direction feels more natural.
• InjuryThe home team has an injury concern, which may not be huge, but it still adds some pressure.
• ModelThe head-to-head results are very old, so they do not carry much weight here.
• FormThis feels like a match where the away team has the edge, but the home side is not out of it, and the draw still deserves respect.
• MarketOverall, the away pick fits both the recent form and the market signal better.
• DataAdvance probability: regular-time win + 50/50 penalty shootout on a draw.