Prediction Notes

The home side looks a bit sharper overall lately, especially going forward, and the defense has been more reliable too.

• MarketThe market is leaning toward the home team, so the home side still gets the better respect here.
• FormThe away team is in decent shape and has avoided losses well, but it has also drawn quite a few games, so it may struggle to pull away.
• FormTheir recent head-to-head meetings have gone back and forth, but the latest one tilted the home side’s way.
• FormThe away defense looks solid, but the home team has more ways to create danger, especially at home.
• InjuryThe home side does have an injury concern, so that is a small negative, while the away side does not have a clear injury issue reported.
• FormOverall, the home team feels like the better choice, but this is not the kind of match where the draw can be ignored.
• ModelAdvance probability: regular-time win + 50/50 penalty shootout on a draw.