Prediction Notes

The home side has avoided defeat quite often lately, so their overall shape looks fairly steady.

• ModelThey have also been scoring more than they have been conceding, which is a good sign for balance.
• FormThe away side is tough to beat as well, and their defense has been especially solid.
• InjuryOne away injury adds a bit of pressure, and in a tight match that kind of detail can matter.
• DataThe head-to-head record is too thin and too old to carry much weight here.
• MarketThe market does not give the home team a strong edge either, which fits the idea of a close game.
• StakesSo the home side looks slightly ahead, but the draw is very much in play and this is not a comfortable spot.