Prediction Notes

The home side looks steadier overall and has avoided heavy losses recently.

• ModelTheir defense has been fairly solid, so they are less likely to fall apart early.
• FormThe away team is not without form, but they look a bit less convincing across recent games.
• MarketThe market side is also leaning toward the home team, which matches the main read here.
• StakesThe draw still deserves respect, because both sides have been sharing points quite a bit lately.
• InjuryNo injuries or news noise helps keep the picture clean, and in that kind of setup the home side feels more comfortable.