未开始5月24日 19:00

比利亚雷亚尔

马德里竞技

Estadio de la Ceramica

预测

置信度 55%风险 MEDIUM

客胜（概率 72.5%，仅供参考，存在风险）

主胜

12.8%

平局

14.8%

客胜

72.5%

O/U 2.5: 77.3% / 22.7%

为什么这么预测？

Poisson expected goals: home λ=1.21, away λ=2.95
Recent form input: home gf/ga=13/18, away gf/ga=18/13
S5: 伤停信息未晚于 Pinnacle 盘口快照，市场已可能消化，未做调整

策略明细: S3_poisson 100%

所有预测内容仅供参考，存在风险，不构成参与建议。

市场数据

市场数据暂未更新 (综合数据参考)

近期交锋

[
  {
    "id": "match_afd1dc87875786ef",
    "kickoff_at": "2025-09-13T19:00:00+00:00",
    "home_team_id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
    "away_team_id": "team_4a0f7ff32bd726b8",
    "score_home": 2,
    "score_away": 0
  },
  {
    "id": "match_bc95158084ede711",
    "kickoff_at": "2025-01-25T15:15:00+00:00",
    "home_team_id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
    "away_team_id": "team_4a0f7ff32bd726b8",
    "score_home": 1,
    "score_away": 1
  },
  {
    "id": "match_d3b0ba5eb79f77b7",
    "kickoff_at": "2024-08-19T19:30:00+00:00",
    "home_team_id": "team_4a0f7ff32bd726b8",
    "away_team_id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
    "score_home": 2,
    "score_away": 2
  },
  {
    "id": "match_03602c16ef8312c5",
    "kickoff_at": "2024-04-01T19:00:00+00:00",
    "home_team_id": "team_4a0f7ff32bd726b8",
    "away_team_id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
    "score_home": 1,
    "score_away": 2
  },
  {
    "id": "match_8a3a3d267f86c1ba",
    "kickoff_at": "2023-11-12T20:00:00+00:00",
    "home_team_id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
    "away_team_id": "team_4a0f7ff32bd726b8",
    "score_home": 3,
    "score_away": 1
  }
]

数据可用性

h2h: pending
odds: pending
lineups: pending
injuries: pending

首发阵容

阵容暂未公布 (综合数据参考)

伤停

[
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
      "name_en": "Atletico Madrid",
      "name_zh": "马德里竞技"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_c45d917ebc266be2",
      "name_en": "R. Mendoza",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Muscle Injury",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
      "name_en": "Atletico Madrid",
      "name_zh": "马德里竞技"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_f4c60063e320080a",
      "name_en": "N. Molina",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Muscle Injury",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
      "name_en": "Atletico Madrid",
      "name_zh": "马德里竞技"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_fb6e73e06974cd98",
      "name_en": "R. Le Normand",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Yellow Cards",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
      "name_en": "Atletico Madrid",
      "name_zh": "马德里竞技"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_ab1fa2b7bda78b4f",
      "name_en": "N. Gonzalez",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Muscle Injury",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
      "name_en": "Atletico Madrid",
      "name_zh": "马德里竞技"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_e1a129d7519bd1cc",
      "name_en": "J. M. Gimenez",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Ankle Injury",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
      "name_en": "Atletico Madrid",
      "name_zh": "马德里竞技"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_592795f1bd3894bf",
      "name_en": "J. Cardoso",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Contusion",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
      "name_en": "Atletico Madrid",
      "name_zh": "马德里竞技"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_35d74b097b0289c0",
      "name_en": "P. Barrios",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Muscle Injury",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_b1e473020b731a70",
      "name_en": "Atletico Madrid",
      "name_zh": "马德里竞技"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_da64c799ef7e1229",
      "name_en": "J. Alvarez",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Ankle Injury",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_4a0f7ff32bd726b8",
      "name_en": "Villarreal",
      "name_zh": "比利亚雷亚尔"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_b3dd859cce97fff7",
      "name_en": "G. Moreno",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Injury",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_4a0f7ff32bd726b8",
      "name_en": "Villarreal",
      "name_zh": "比利亚雷亚尔"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_9cb17a8eafaff2a1",
      "name_en": "P. Cabanes",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Convalescence",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_4a0f7ff32bd726b8",
      "name_en": "Villarreal",
      "name_zh": "比利亚雷亚尔"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_8ae41bde394512a5",
      "name_en": "J. Foyth",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Achilles Tendon Injury",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  },
  {
    "team": {
      "id": "team_4a0f7ff32bd726b8",
      "name_en": "Villarreal",
      "name_zh": "比利亚雷亚尔"
    },
    "player": {
      "id": "player_5c06ec766a92cf80",
      "name_en": "S. Comesana",
      "position": null
    },
    "reason": "Muscle Injury",
    "source": "api-football",
    "announced_at": null
  }
]

比利亚雷亚尔

马德里竞技

预测

市场数据

近期交锋

相关新闻