未开始5月30日 16:00
巴黎圣日耳曼
VS
VS
阿森纳
Puskas Arena
预测
置信度 0%风险 HIGH
客胜（概率 43.8%，仅供参考，存在风险）
主胜
32.6%
平局
23.6%
客胜
43.8%
O/U 2.5: 49.6% / 50.4%
为什么这么预测？
- Pinnacle 1x2 odds home=2.27, draw=3.34, away=3.23
- De-vigged market probability home=42.0%, draw=28.5%, away=29.5%
- Poisson expected goals: home λ=0.75, away λ=3.50
- Recent form input: home gf/ga=7/11, away gf/ga=24/9
- S5: 伤停信息未晚于 Pinnacle 盘口快照，市场已可能消化，未做调整
策略明细: S1_pinnacle_reverse 75% · S3_poisson 25%
所有预测内容仅供参考，存在风险，不构成参与建议。
市场数据
{
"h2h": [
{
"snapshot_at": "2026-05-19T12:04:26.952881+00:00",
"home": 2.27,
"draw": 3.34,
"away": 3.23
}
],
"ah": [
{
"snapshot_at": "2026-05-19T12:04:26.952881+00:00",
"line": -0.25,
"home": 1.95,
"away": 1.89
}
],
"ou": [
{
"snapshot_at": "2026-05-19T12:04:26.952881+00:00",
"line": 2.5,
"over": 1.93,
"under": 1.9
}
]
}近期交锋
[
{
"id": "match_e9207bbb16f48dc3",
"kickoff_at": "2025-05-07T19:00:00+00:00",
"home_team_id": "team_a840b1d4eba2db25",
"away_team_id": "team_1966f3ac7f3fc020",
"score_home": 2,
"score_away": 1
},
{
"id": "match_8fdf40679dd6a930",
"kickoff_at": "2025-04-29T19:00:00+00:00",
"home_team_id": "team_1966f3ac7f3fc020",
"away_team_id": "team_a840b1d4eba2db25",
"score_home": 0,
"score_away": 1
},
{
"id": "match_7fdb80e6e201ebf8",
"kickoff_at": "2024-10-01T19:00:00+00:00",
"home_team_id": "team_1966f3ac7f3fc020",
"away_team_id": "team_a840b1d4eba2db25",
"score_home": 2,
"score_away": 0
},
{
"id": "match_dfc34256260cfeaf",
"kickoff_at": "2018-07-28T11:35:00+00:00",
"home_team_id": "team_1966f3ac7f3fc020",
"away_team_id": "team_a840b1d4eba2db25",
"score_home": 5,
"score_away": 1
},
{
"id": "match_92028072fddc915f",
"kickoff_at": "2016-11-23T19:45:00+00:00",
"home_team_id": "team_1966f3ac7f3fc020",
"away_team_id": "team_a840b1d4eba2db25",
"score_home": 2,
"score_away": 2
}
]相关新闻
暂无数据